Evaluating Year-Over-Year Data Shifts: Comparing the 2011/2012 Baseline Against the 2012/2013 Serie A Campaign
Extracting sustainable value from sports betting markets requires identifying the precise moment a league-wide trend breaks away from its historical baseline. Many statistical models fail because they treat team performance data as a static continuation of the previous season, assuming that tactical tendencies and scoring velocities remain constant over time. The transition from the 2011/2012 … Read more